Vaccinate the old fast

The CDC give Infection Fatality Ratios for people of different ages as

0-19 years: 0.00003
20-49 years: 0.0002
50-69 years: 0.005
70+ years: 0.054

This mens 5.4% of all over 70s who are infected with Covid they believe will die.

The number of people in these age groups in Ireland is

425k over 70s

55-69 year olds =720k 

18-54 is 1,350,000

0-18 about 1,200,000 people

The ages do not quite line up but they are close enough.

If all over 70s in Ireland got infected with covid 23,000 would die. Assuming the infections were spaced out enough that the medical system stayed working.

All 55-69 about 3,600 would die

All adults 1350000 * 0.0002= 270 deaths 

Children=36

This ignores long term issues that Covid could cause. But hospitalisation numbers track Deaths pretty clearly. And long term issues seem to track hospitalisations.

The numbers are pretty stark though and indicate to me we should rapidly vaccinate older (and vulnerable) people as quickly as practical.